October 2021 | Michael Masdea, Head of Investment Science; Yash Patodia, Global Industry Analyst; Bruce Glazer, Global Industry Analyst
October 2021 | Michael Masdea, Head of Investment Science; Yash Patodia, Global Industry Analyst; Bruce Glazer, Global Industry Analyst
The views expressed are those of the authors at the time of writing. Other teams may hold different views and make different investment decisions. The value of investments may become worth more or less than at the time of original investment. While any third-party data used is considered reliable, its accuracy is not guaranteed. For professional, institutional, or accredited investors only.
Remember rushing home exactly at 8pm to catch the show everyone was watching? Or waiting endlessly for your favorite song to play on the radio? Many experiences of the past — from television and movies to music to gaming — were intended for the masses and bound by time and geography.
Today’s experiences are curated and personalized by algorithms — and harness cloud computing to stream movies, shows, and music on demand. They are also now available anywhere and anytime via mobile data networks and connected devices. Importantly, these innovations have applications far beyond entertainment. The underlying technologies will soon drive new forms of experiences — from transforming your car into a self-driving theater on the go to creating opportunities in virtual travel, augmented reality shopping, and a metaverse of games.
In part one of Tech WELLcovered, we explored how technology is augmenting work and unlocking humanity’s true creative potential. In part two, we explore how tech disruption is evolving how we have fun outside of work, creating vast possibilities for experiences tailored to your interests and seamlessly integrating them into your everyday life.
The future of fun will see ubiquitous technology offer countless personalized experiences outside of work — from AI-enhanced travel to augmented reality shopping to 5G-enabled gaming and entertainment on the go.
To future-proof your portfolio and capture the widespread opportunities from the future of experiences, we believe investors need research expertise far beyond the tech sector.
The investable opportunity sets fueling such progress span the hardware and software segments. We find the likes of sophisticated chipmakers, cloud-based solutions, and AI-oriented software companies particularly compelling.
Take exercise bikes, for instance, where Wi-Fi-enabled and chip-powered indoor cycling bikes have taken this once solitary exercise routine to a new level of experience. Today’s cutting-edge bikes allow you to stream your favorite music, monitor your performance, video chat with your friends, and cycle through the Alps — all while adjusting the bike’s resistance to mimic the virtual terrain.
Or imagine your family’s future visit to the Egyptian pyramids, transformed by next-gen cameras leveraging AI-enhanced machine vision to track your progress through the site. Augmented reality glasses could overlay the building with the restored architecture, murals, and artifacts of millennia ago. Moreover, an AI-powered travel assistant could curate a personalized tour for each member of your family based on your favorite topics — from the building’s architecture to its uses in Hollywood films.
Or consider the future of shopping streamlined with AI attendants, “metaverse malls,” and augmented reality mirrors that let you “try on” countless outfits from the comfort of your bedroom.
Innovations like virtual, augmented, and mixed reality technologies have innumerable potential applications for consumers, as well as in the health care and industrial sectors. The hardware and software markets thus have the potential to see significant growth in the next few years (Figure 1).
FIGURE 1:
The massive growth potential for the global virtual, augmented, and mixed reality market.
Combined market size (US$ billions)
Sources: Mordor Intelligence, Boston Consulting Group analysis, Statista. Data as of September 2021.
With the evolution of 5G, AI, machine learning, and augmented reality, the future of experiences may soon make the far-fetched idea of “being in two places at once” a reality.
Gaming of the past was expensive, required dedicated hardware, and was often restricted to one location. The future of gaming will see AI, 5G networks, and more powerful hardware unlock personalized, on-the-go gaming for everyone, everywhere, using a variety of devices. The Pokémon Go craze gave us a glimpse of our likely future as mobile gaming turns increasingly viral.
E-sports, virtual reality, and the gamification of education all present additional opportunities to invest in the future of gaming. Gaming will also offer a growing fintech opportunity as digital assets within games — like clothing and other personalized avatar characteristics — will create huge new markets powered by digital payments, the blockchain, and non-fungible tokens. A gaming metaverse may tie all these experiences together in a seamless virtual world that mirrors the offline world. The ever-expanding communities that form through these platforms could become ready consumers.
To future-proof their portfolios, we think investors need deep research capabilities to keep up with today’s rapidly expanding tech use cases. Our research engagements with management teams, suppliers, and industry experts show us that whatever path the future of fun takes, today’s hardware and software advancements in connectivity, computing power, and machine intelligence will be the critical catalysts for tomorrow’s limitless innovation.
In today’s opportunity set, we are particularly interested in the companies supplying the foundational technologies — or “the picks and shovels” of innovation. For example: the extreme ultraviolet lithography technology creating advanced computer chips, the fabless semiconductor companies designing 5G chips and graphics cards, and the cloud-based, AI-powered software firms fueling personalization.
The future will offer you infinitely more options for leisure activities. From augmented reality and AI-powered travel to on-the-go gaming, experiences will be more flexible, personalized, and seamlessly integrated than we could have ever imagined.
We are at the beginning of a huge transformation trend in the future of fun. To take advantage of this opportunity, investors must identify the right trends and the right companies at the right time. Is your tech exposure ready to capture this potential?
Actual holdings will vary and there is no guarantee that the strategies will have the same characteristics as described above.
1 Source: Qono. | 2 Sources: Company reports, the Australian Academy of Science, and Wellington Management. September 2021.
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